Brent naik 51 sen, WTI 1,28$, kenaikan di tengah ketidakpastian geopolitik

On 19 Juni 2026, at 06.45 GMT (13.45 WIB), the benchmark crude price known as Brent climbed 51 sen (0,64 %) to US$ 80,36 per barrel. The U.S. benchmark, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), also rose 1,28 US$ (1,7 %) to US$ 77,88 per barrel. These gains followed earlier declines linked to expectations of a long‑term ceasefire and the U.S.–Iran peace talks, where analysts had forecast a weekly drop of about 8 % for both contracts.

The global price points had reached a low on 17 Juni 2026, when several tankers—including three Saudi‑flagged vessels carrying 6 juta barel—traversed the Selat Hormuz just hours after a provisional ceasefire agreement between Iran and the U.S. Experts said the deal could release more than 85 juta barel of oil that had been stranded in the Eastern Mediterranean, and it would lift U.S. sanctions on Iranian oil, thereby boosting supply.

Para pedagang masih menunggu bukti konkret bahwa lalu lintas kapal tanker melalui Selat Hormuz benar-benar kembali normal sebelum berkomitmen pada penurunan harga selanjutnya, kata Tim Waterer, kepala analis pasar di KCM. The uncertainty grew when U.S. Vice‑President JD Vance cancelled his planned trip to the region, putting the peace talks on hold.

Israel’s intensified attacks on Lebanon added pressure to the fragile agreement. The potential collapse of the U.S.–Iran truce has increased market volatility, as traders reassess risk.

Harga mungkin telah mencapai titik terendah dan kita mungkin akan melihat kenaikan kembali yang disertai dengan banyak volatilitas karena keretakan telah muncul dalam nota kesepahaman, kata Vandana Hari, pendiri Vanda Insights. The market remains jittery, with traders awaiting concrete signs of normal tanker traffic before committing to further price declines.

The recent price rebound underscores how sensitive oil markets are to geopolitical shifts. While supply prospects improved with the temporary ceasefire, the sudden reversal of diplomatic momentum by Israel and the U.S. political decision have reignited price pressure. Traders now focus on whether the temporary easing will hold or if renewed conflict will push prices higher again.